Election Prediction Markets in India
An election prediction market turns political outcomes into a live probability you can read at a glance — which party wins a state, whether an alliance crosses the majority mark, or how a closely fought seat tilts. India Predictions aggregates these markets from Polymarket, filters them for India relevance, and tracks the contests Indian voters and analysts care about: West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam and other state elections, plus national political questions. Each market is shown as an implied probability that updates roughly every five minutes as campaigns, alliances and news shift the odds — often faster and more accurately than static exit polls. This is an informational tracker, not a betting site: no real-money trading, no INR stakes. Use it to follow how the political crowd is pricing each race and to sanity-check headlines against what people are actually willing to back.
Live Election markets
All marketsRelated events
2026 Assembly Elections: WB, TN, Kerala
Three major states (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala) expected to go to polls in 2026 with high-stakes contests impacting national narrative and Rajya Sabha composition.
Will the ruling party retain power in at least 2 of these 3 states in 2026?
New Income Tax Act, 2025 (Effective April 2026)
Union Budget 2026-27 announced that the new Income Tax Act, 2025 will come into effect from April 2026, aiming to simplify rules and reduce multiplicity of proceedings.
Will the new Income Tax Act implementation be deferred beyond April 2026?
RBI: Agency Banks to Remain Open on March 31
RBI directed agency banks handling government business to remain open on March 31, 2026 to ensure smooth year-end accounting and government transactions.
Will RBI extend similar special-opening instructions to banks on another FY-end holiday in 2026?
TRAI: "1600" Verified Calling Series for Stockbrokers
TRAI has set a deadline of March 15, 2026 for qualified stockbrokers to migrate to the 1600 numbering series to help users identify legitimate financial calls and reduce fraud.
Will major brokers report a measurable drop in fraud complaints by end of April 2026 after 1600 rollout?
Read more
Implied probabilities are crowd-sourced estimates aggregated from prediction markets. Informational only — not financial advice. No real-money trading.