What is India Predictions?

India Predictions is a prediction-market data tracker for Indian events. It aggregates and displays live probabilities for cricket, IPL, elections, RBI policy, the economy and more, sourced from Polymarket. It is an informational tracker — there is no real-money trading on the site.

What are prediction markets?

Prediction markets are markets where the price of a contract reflects the crowd-estimated probability of a future event. A price between 0 and 1 maps to a 0%–100% implied probability. India Predictions tracks and displays these probabilities for India-relevant events; it does not let you place trades.

Is India Predictions legal in India?

India Predictions is an informational data tracker, not a trading or gambling platform. It does not accept or facilitate any real-money trades and is not regulated by SEBI. The probabilities shown are for information only and are not investment advice.

Which events does India Predictions track?

India Predictions tracks prediction-market probabilities for India-relevant events including IPL and international cricket, RBI repo rate decisions, Nifty 50 levels, India CPI inflation, elections, Bollywood box office, crypto prices and global events.

Where does the data come from?

India Predictions displays live probabilities sourced from Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market. The figures represent crowd-sourced probability estimates and are updated continuously. India Predictions only tracks and presents this data — no real money is involved.

India Prediction Market Digest

Week of 17 June 2026 · updated continuously

As of this week, India Predictions is tracking 8 of the most-watched India prediction-market questions across Markets, Bollywood, Energy, Regulation. The single most active is “US Realty Firm Opendoor Winds Down India Operations, 250 Jobs Impacted”, where the market implies roughly a 44% chance. Probabilities are crowd-sourced estimates aggregated from prediction markets, updated continuously — not financial advice.

This week's most-watched questions

Question	Implied %
US Realty Firm Opendoor Winds Down India Operations, 250 Jobs ImpactedMarkets Will this lead to further layoffs in the Indian tech sector?	44%
Maharashtra Home Department Orders Probe into Pranit More's ControversyBollywood Will the investigation result in any formal charges against Pranit More?	26%
Bollywood Box Office Collection Report (2026)Bollywood Will Bollywood box office collections exceed previous years in 2026?	34%
India’s ONGC Considers Resuming Venezuela Oil OperationsEnergy Will ONGC successfully resume operations in Venezuela this year?	31%
Crude Oil Rebounds After 5% Plunge Amid US-Iran Peace Deal TalksEnergy Will the oil prices stabilize above $80 per barrel in the next month?	79%
U.S. becomes India’s top gas supplier, as Iran war cuts it off from the GulfEnergy Will this shift in gas supply chain strengthen U.S.-India relations?	65%
Regulating Cryptocurrency in IndiaRegulation Will the Indian government implement a comprehensive cryptocurrency regulation before the end of 2024?	64%
Understanding Crypto Regulations in IndiaRegulation Will India's crypto regulations become more stringent in the next year?	55%

Implied probabilities are crowd-sourced estimates aggregated from prediction markets. Informational only — not financial advice. No real-money trading.

Context: this week's India headlines

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