What is India Predictions?

India Predictions is a prediction-market data tracker for Indian events. It aggregates and displays live probabilities for cricket, IPL, elections, RBI policy, the economy and more, sourced from Polymarket. It is an informational tracker — there is no real-money trading on the site.

Is India Predictions legal in India?

India Predictions is an informational data tracker, not a trading or gambling platform. It does not accept or facilitate any real-money trades and is not regulated by SEBI. The probabilities shown are for information only and are not investment advice.

Which events does India Predictions track?

India Predictions tracks prediction-market probabilities for India-relevant events including IPL and international cricket, RBI repo rate decisions, Nifty 50 levels, India CPI inflation, elections, Bollywood box office, crypto prices and global events.

Where does the data come from?

India Predictions displays live probabilities sourced from Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market. The figures represent crowd-sourced probability estimates and are updated continuously. India Predictions only tracks and presents this data — no real money is involved.

IndicativeSensex72,450-2.1%Nifty 5022,124-1.8%Brent Crude$101.3+3.2%USD/INR87.42-0.3%India VIX19.80-1.5%

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Track India's Prediction Markets

Q: What are prediction markets?

Prediction markets are markets where the price of a contract reflects the crowd-estimated probability of a future event. A price between 0 and 1 maps to a 0%–100% implied probability. India Predictions tracks and displays these probabilities for India-relevant events; it does not let you place trades.

Live odds on politics, cricket, economy and more — aggregated from global prediction markets and tailored for Indian watchers.

For Indian investors, policy watchers, and cricket fans who want data-driven probabilities, not just headlines.

Learn how prediction markets work →

Prediction market tracker — no real money involved. Data from Polymarket.

0 Events

indiapredictions.com

YES odds

62%

India VIX

19.8

Volatility

Cautious

Politics62% YES

BJP wins 3+ state elections

Cricket38% YES

CSK wins IPL 2026

Economy71% YES

RBI cuts rate in June

Probability trend — RBI rate cut

LIVE

Most-Watched India Events

Stock Market Crash – "Fearful Friday"

Will Nifty recover above 24,000 by end of March 2026?

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West Asia Escalation: Energy Shock Risk to India

Will Brent crude average above $100/barrel for the rest of March 2026?

View

Oil Price: Brent Above $100?

Will Brent crude settle above $100/barrel for 5 consecutive trading days in March 2026?

View

How India Predictions works

Choose an event

Elections, RBI moves, IPL matches, oil prices and more.

PoliticsIPLRBI

See live probabilities

Real-time YES/NO odds from Polymarket.

YES 62%

NO 38%

Analyze the odds

Probability trends and sector correlations.

Get weekly summaries

Top 5 shifts + charts every Monday.

India Predictions Weekly

Read full guide

Dashboards for markets, elections & oil

Sector scores, correlations & historical trends

Open Analytics

Browse by category

Markets & Economy

Stock market, currency & financial developments

Breaking

MarketsCritical

Stock Market Crash – "Fearful Friday"

Sensex sold off sharply on March 13, 2026 (down 1,470 points) with Nifty ending below 23,151 amid West Asia conflict escalation and crude oil near/above $100 per barrel.

Will Nifty recover above 24,000 by end of March 2026?

YES 78%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 14 Mar

Details

Hot

EconomyActive

RBI Monetary Policy – Rates on Hold

RBI maintained repo rate at 5.25% (Feb 2026 MPC) and flagged geopolitical tensions, volatile energy prices and adverse weather as key upside risks. Feb 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to 3.21% y/y (from 2.74% in Jan), with food inflation at 3.47% (vs 2.13%). New RBI projections put FY26 inflation at 2.1% (Q4: 3.2%) and FY27 inflation at 4.0% (Q1) / 4.2% (Q2); FY26 GDP growth is seen at 7.4%, with FY27 Q1/Q2 at 6.9%/7.0%.

Will FY26 inflation print below 3.0% (annual average) as projected by RBI?

YES 40%

NO 60%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

Politics & Elections

Elections, governance & policy decisions

Trending

PoliticsUpcoming

2026 Assembly Elections: WB, TN, Kerala

Three major states (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala) expected to go to polls in 2026 with high-stakes contests impacting national narrative and Rajya Sabha composition.

Will the ruling party retain power in at least 2 of these 3 states in 2026?

YES 64%

NO 36%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

Trending

PoliticsUpcoming

New Income Tax Act, 2025 (Effective April 2026)

Union Budget 2026-27 announced that the new Income Tax Act, 2025 will come into effect from April 2026, aiming to simplify rules and reduce multiplicity of proceedings.

Will the new Income Tax Act implementation be deferred beyond April 2026?

YES 69%

NO 31%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

Cricket & IPL

Cricket, IPL & sporting events

Hot

SportsActive

IPL 2026 First-Phase Schedule Announced

BCCI announced the first phase schedule of IPL 2026 (March 28 to April 12) with 20 matches across 10 venues; full schedule pending state election dates and Bengaluru clearances.

Will Bengaluru get clearance to host all scheduled IPL matches in March–April 2026?

YES 58%

NO 42%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

Energy & Oil

Oil prices, LPG crisis & energy security

Breaking

EnergyCritical

Oil Price: Brent Above $100?

Oil prices have jumped on West Asia risk; the $100/bbl threshold is a key macro tipping point for India’s inflation and fiscal math.

Will Brent crude settle above $100/barrel for 5 consecutive trading days in March 2026?

YES 57%

NO 43%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

Hot

EnergyActive

LNG/LPG Supply Chain Risk

Tighter LNG/LPG supply and shipping risk in West Asia could raise gas prices and create localized shortages, affecting households and industry.

Will India announce additional LPG subsidy support before April 30, 2026?

YES 70%

NO 30%

Crowd sentimentUpdated 13 Mar

Details

2,400+

Active watchers

—

Markets tracked

29+

Events covered

"Finally, prediction market data curated for India — saves me hours of filtering Polymarket."

Equity Analyst, Mumbai

"The IPL probability tracker is something I check every morning before matches."

Cricket Writer, Bangalore

"Sector scores and VIX correlation charts are genuinely useful for my macro research."

Policy Researcher, Delhi

Analytics & Insights

Sector scores, correlations & historical probability trends across all India-focused markets.

Open Dashboard

Sector Scores

Energy

Pharma

Banking

Metals

Top correlation

West Asia → Oil Price

r = 0.92

Market sentiment

Cautious

Score: 38/100

India VIX — 30-day trend

Latest Analysis

Prediction market insights & education

All Posts

Education

What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Guide for India

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Learn how they work, why they matter, and how India is approaching this growing global phenomenon.

Sports

IPL 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Changing Cricket Analysis

With IPL 2026 starting March 28, prediction markets are providing real-time probability estimates for every team. Here's what the data tells us about this season.

Economy

RBI Rate Decisions: What Prediction Markets Tell Us That Economists Don't

Prediction markets are providing more accurate and timely signals about RBI monetary policy than traditional economist surveys. Here's why.

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about prediction markets in India

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India Predictions Weekly

Mon, 22 Jun, 2026 · 3 min read

This week's top moves:

RBI Rate Cut (June)+12%

Oil crosses $120/bbl Q2+22%

Nifty Recovery >24K-27%

Weekly chart: India VIX trend

Insight: Markets price RBI cut at 71% but economists consensus is only 45%...